G11 SUPER GIO
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LEARN MISSIONmodels, assumptions, sensitivity, and validation

models, assumptions, sensitivity, and validation

WORKED MODELWORKED SOURCE

Disease spread assumptions

A simulation assumes each infected person contacts 8 people/day, transmission chance 5%, and infectious duration 5 days. Expected secondary cases are 8*0.05*5=2.

  1. The estimate is a simplified reproduction value.
  2. It assumes independent, constant contacts.
  3. Behavior can change the parameters.

What does the model predict under its assumptions?

MODELSimulation Assumption Map
DATA
PROVEChoose with evidence
CLUE

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