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G12 SUPER GIO
123
01
LEARN MISSIONassumptions, calibration, sensitivity, validation, and defense

assumptions, calibration, sensitivity, validation, and defense

WORKED SOURCEWORKED SOURCE

Calibrate a growth model

Population data at years 0,1,2: 100,119,143. Model P=100e^(kt). Using year 2 gives k=ln(1.43)/2 about 0.179.

  1. Calibration fixes a parameter from data.
  2. Trace the worked reasoning before selecting the conclusion.

What does the model predict at year 3?

MODELModel Defense Portfolio
MATH
PROVEChoose with evidence
CLUE

Pause. Find what matters. Then make your move.