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G12 SUPER GIO
123
02
PRACTICE MISSIONassumptions, calibration, sensitivity, validation, and defense

assumptions, calibration, sensitivity, validation, and defense

NEW EVIDENCENEW EVIDENCE

Sensitivity to an assumption

A sea-level cost model uses 0.5 m rise for $8M, 0.8 m for $19M, and 1.1 m for $37M.

  1. Costs are nonlinear across scenarios.
  2. Apply the method to this new case and check the strongest alternative.

Which communication is strongest?

MODELModel Defense Portfolio
MATH
PROVEChoose with evidence
CLUE

Pause. Find what matters. Then make your move.